{"id":16558,"date":"2019-12-17T13:58:50","date_gmt":"2019-12-17T13:58:50","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.anthonydidonato.net\/wordpress\/?p=16558"},"modified":"2019-12-17T13:58:52","modified_gmt":"2019-12-17T13:58:52","slug":"theres-not-enough-building","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.anthonydidonato.net\/wordpress\/theres-not-enough-building\/","title":{"rendered":"There\u2019s Not Enough Building"},"content":{"rendered":"

There\u2019s Not Enough Building<\/h1>\n
\"There\u2019s<\/a>

There\u2019s Not Enough Building<\/p><\/div>\n

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While industry economists at the National Association of REALTORS\u00ae\u2019 Real Estate Forecast Summit<\/a> last week were optimistic about the housing market’s performance in 2020, they also discussed challenges that continue to throw markets off balance. One big one: the continued need for more new construction to meet new household formation and replace obsolete stock.<\/p>\n

The 14 economists, who delivered a consensus forecast<\/a> last week, expect home sales and price gains to continue into 2020, albeit at a slower pace. \u201cReal estate is on firm ground with little chance of price declines,\u201d says NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. \u201cHowever, in order for the market to be healthier, more supply is needed to assure home prices as well as rents do not consistently outgrow income gains.\u201d<\/p>\n

Economists at the NAR summit pointed to several factors that are making it harder to get new supply into the market.<\/p>\n

Cost of construction lending: <\/strong>The Federal Reserve\u2019s policy of easing in 2019\u2014the federal funds rate is currently 1.75%, compared to 2.25% a year ago\u2014should lead to more affordable housing, all other things being equal, said Michael Neal, senior research associate with the Urban Institute. However, when you look at construction loans, that may not be the case. Builder loans are tied to the prime rate, which correlates closely with the federal funds rate. \u201cAll else equal, an easing of monetary policy should reduce construction costs,\u201d he said. However, \u201cthere has been some survey work by the National Association of Home Builders showing that maybe rates on acquisition development and construction loans have not come down with the easing of monetary policy. That\u2019s certainly a trend that\u2019s worth exploring.\u201d<\/p>\n

Shortage of labor:<\/strong> Greater employment has drawn workers away from construction jobs, making it more difficult for builders to keep projects on schedule. In Texas, where job gains are making it hard for inbound workers to find any home\u2014let alone an affordable one\u2014skilled workers have been drawn by higher-paying jobs in fracking, the practice of extracting oil and natural gas from shale, said James Gaines, chief economist at the Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University. Truck drivers can earn much more in the fracking industry than they could driving concrete trucks on a construction job, he said.<\/p>\n

And Texas isn\u2019t alone. Currently, there are 338,000 jobs open in residential and nonresidential construction, above prerecession levels, said Danushka Nanayakkara, assistant vice president of forecasting and analysis for the National Association of Home Builders. \u201cThe biggest issue is the lack of skilled labor,\u201d she said. The Great Recession drove many construction workers out of the labor force, and those that remain are aging, she added. \u201cYoung people are not interested in going into trade schools and construction trade. Also, women make up only 9% of construction sector jobs, when women make up almost half the entire labor force. The immigration crackdown has also choked off new labor supply.\u201d<\/p>\n

Shortage of buildable lots:<\/strong> Fracking, which is prolific in states like Texas<\/a>, may also be disrupting builders\u2019 ability to break ground on new homes. The NAHB\u2019s Nanayakkara said nationally two-thirds of builders are reporting there aren\u2019t enough lots to build on. Median lot sizes are going down, and costs are going up. The solution she said, is to create \u201cmore efficient zoning rules, and bring more land into the system.\u201d (Zoning reform and the need for nontraditional housing types to fill in the gap were other big topics of discussion at the Summit.)<\/p>\n

High regulatory costs:<\/strong> As a share of a home price, the average for regulatory costs is almost 25%; on the multifamily side, the cost is as high as 32%, Nanayakkara said. That\u2019s an issue the Trump administration is addressing. Department of Housing and Urban Development Secretary Ben Carson, also speaking at the summit, said as much as 80% of the government regulations that restrict the construction of affordable housing occur at the local and state level. But the administration\u2019s White House Council on Eliminating Regulatory Barriers to Affordable Housing is looking at what hurdles could be eliminated at the federal level. \u201cThere are a whole lot of regulations that have been on the books for decades\u2014in many cases, 50 or 100 years\u2014that have nothing to do with what’s going on today.\u201d<\/p>\n

It\u2019s not just new construction that\u2019s lagging. The nation\u2019s existing housing stock needs work to prepare for the aging of the baby boomer generation, said Kermit Baker, senior research fellow at Harvard University\u2019s Joint Center for Housing Studies and chief economist for the American Institute of Architects. \u201cThe oldest baby boomers are approaching their mid-70s, and that\u2019s a time when you start thinking about accommodations in your home,\u201d he said. \u201cThe match between the housing stock we have now and the emerging needs of our population is a huge disconnect.\u201d Baker added that builders need to focus on three main accessibility criteria: single-floor living, no-step entrances, and wide hallways and doorways.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Source:<\/div>\n
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National Association of REALTORS\u00ae<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

There\u2019s Not Enough Building While industry economists at the National Association of REALTORS\u00ae\u2019 Real Estate Forecast Summit last week were optimistic about the housing market’s performance in 2020, they also discussed challenges that continue to throw markets off balance. One big one: the continued need for more new construction to meet new household formation and … <\/p>\n

Continue reading<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[16,8],"tags":[5,32,4],"class_list":["post-16558","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","category-real-estate-tips","tag-anthony-didonato","tag-news","tag-real-estate","item-wrap"],"yoast_head":"\nThere\u2019s Not Enough Building - Real Estate Agent and Sales in PA - Anthony DiDonato Broomall, Media, Delaware County and surrounding areas in Pennsylvania<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"There\u2019s Not Enough Building starting up in the USA and here are a few reasons why. 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